Payout Below $5.00 For Coming Season?

Keith Woodford has written an interesting post. Essentially at current prices with the exchange rate at its current level, farmers should expect a commodity price of below $5.00. 

John Penno the CEO of Synlait, is estimating their final payout for the 2012/2013 season will be $5.00.

In recent years Fonterra, economists and general commentators have been saying that milk prices will be volatile in the future.

Questions:
Will cows still be selling for $2,000 a cow?
Will land prices fall?
Will this effect the share price of Fonterra shares once TAF is implemented?
When you combine milk price volatility with the recent environment court rulings re: nitrate limits. Will farmers still be paying $40,000/ha for land?
Are we going to see a reduction in farm working expenses for this next season? 

Last time the payout dropped from a record high was in 2009. The payout reduced to $5.00 but farm working expenses didn't fall. The result was cash losses accross the board for the 2009 year.

Lets just hope that farmers are no longer over extended and are able to handle this reduction in payout. 

Organics

Research out of Stanford University has shown that organic produce has no greater nutritional value than non-organic produce.

That’s not news to me, but I don’t think people buy organic food because they feel it is has a higher nutritional value, but rather because it is not covered in sprays and pesticides.

Jacqueline Rowarth points out repeatedly that organics generally produce 20% less yield than conventional farming methods. These farmers need to receive the premium that organics provides in order to stay profitable. But as the world begins to meet the needs of a growing population, all the figures I’m seeing require more product being produced from less and with a lower environmental impact. I’m doubtful that organics can achieve this.

The debate whether organic produce is worth it or not is irrelevant, in my mind. Consumers are buying organics because it means something to them and they are prepared to pay more for it.

None of us buy products based on logic; many people pay an arm and a leg for RM Williams clothing. They then try and justify their purchase with logic, like “its great quality clothing, it lasts such a long time” or “I struggle to find pants that fit me and these RM Williams jeans fit perfectly”. The fact is they buy RM Williams clothing because that’s what outback cowboys wear and they identify with the lifestyle and the image of the cattle rustlers from the outback.

People tell themselves that they buy European cars for the safety, but we all know it’s for the image.

When I was a kid at school in the 80s, Adidas three stripe tracksuit pants were the fashion item of the day. After pleading for some months, my Mum went and bought me some tracksuit pants that were the same in every respect to Adidas tracksuit pants except they had 4 stripes not three. What a tragedy!  Everybody would know that I was wearing the cheap knock off version. My poor parents couldn’t understand why I wouldn’t wear them, logic would suggest that they looked almost the same but were 50% cheaper.

It’s all about the image and what that image says about us.

Consumers or should I say middle aged, mothers put a value on the term “Organic”. To them it means natural, environmentally friendly, small scale, local, animal welfare, wholesome and safe. Many consumers are attracted to an image of a simpler time and this is compounded by a mistrust of corporates who, in their minds do “things” to their food in order to make it last longer on supermarket shelves or cheaper to process. These are all factors in their decision to buy organic.

Many people attach attributes to the term “organic”, which are simply not true. In the case of milk, an organic cow is farmed in almost the exact same way as a non-organic cow. They still walk to and from the cowshed and get sore feet. An organic cow leaches just as much Nitrogen as a non-organic cow, organic cows produce just as much effluent as traditionally farmed cows. The only difference between the two systems is, traditional dairy farmers use antibiotics and Nitrogen fertilizer.

Organic farmers will dispute what I have just said; they will say that their soils are much improved due to the additional organic matter in their soils. Therefore more Nitrogen is absorbed and not leached. I am sympathetic to biodynamic farming practises, but I’m not sure some of the claims have been proved.

Organic dairy farmers will point to excessive Nitrogen fertilizer use, as the modern farming industry promotes a short term view with an emphasises on more production. They will also point out irresponsible antibiotic use by farmers.

I have to say that I can’t disagree with the points they make on fertilizer and antibiotics. But I doubt very much that the milk from an organic herd is in any way different to a non-organic herd. Will the milk be in any way contaminated if a farmer sprayed the gorse at the back of the farm or if a farmer applied 25kg of Nitrogen fertilizer behind the cows? I doubt it very much.

But it’s not about the features or the facts of a product that matter. Is someone really that better off buying a $60 Rip Curl T shirt with the logo on the front as opposed to the same colour shirt at Hallenstiens for $15? Are those RM Williams shirts that cost $319 really so much better than the $80 ones at your local menswear store? They certainly are in the eye of the purchaser.

I think the average middle class person in New Zealand wants food that is produced ethically and sustainably. They want to know that the farmer puts a high priority on animal welfare and that the product is safe to eat. “Organic” is not necessarily the term that needs to be used. Organic has become the generic term for produce that is ethically produced and safe to eat in the minds of many customers. They only want organic because they think it has to be organic to meet their needs. Henry Ford made the famous quote "If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.". If you ask many customers what they want, they will say “organic”, because they don’t know any different.

If a farmer can show the average customer that their particular product meets the standards that they require, such as animal welfare, environmental impact and food safety, then they can receive the premium that is paid for organics without being certified organic. That’s because farmers can meet these high expectations without being organic. They just need to communicate the promise better. For a brand to do that, it requires total transparency with the consumer and open communication, which is easier to do these days.

When the debate arises about whether it is a sensible choice to buy organic or not. We spend most of the time discussing the logical facts. One side will point out how much pesticide is on your carrots the other side will show how organics produce 20% less yield and therefore have a higher carbon footprint, which will no doubt be rubbished by the other side and round the debate goes. But we forget that it is very rare that the logic or the facts are what drive us to purchase. It’s our emotional beliefs.

If I was selling milk to consumers, I would be communicating how my product meets the emotional beliefs that are satisfied by the term “organic”. Which is quite different to pointing outing out the differences between organic and non-organic milk.

Dairy Farming New Zealand Can Be Proud Of

I've changed my header to the Milking On The Moove logo. My goal is to create a dairy farming system that New Zealanders can be proud of.

I'm passionate about dairy farming and agriculture. While I have blogged about aspects that I think should change, I'm a fan of the industry. I'm concerned that Fonterra seems to get so much flack from the New Zealand public, which includes individual farmers.

I can understand left leaning environmentalists having a dim view of Fonterra, as that would be in keeping with their attitude towards corporates and big business in general. I'm concerned by the attitudes of middle New Zealand. It seems that many view Fonterra as a money hungry corporate giant that is screwing New Zealand consumers. I'm prepared to be a little understanding of a middle of the road New Zealander, who knows nothing about farming being influenced by the media.

But what really concerns me is the negative attitudes from business people, who I would have thought would lean towards Fonterra and farmers. But even these people seem to have it in for Fonterra. The comments in this  NBR article are a good example. 

I want to do my little bit to try and change the way dairy farming is viewed in New Zealand. So I hope to be helpful to non farmers, by being informative about issues like the price of milk and other industry matters.
But for the New Zealand public to be proud of dairy farmers, they need to change too. I don't want to be a negative voice against dairy farmers, but I want to highlight where farmers can do better. I'm not going to be an armchair farmer, preaching from my keyboard either. I'll practice what I preach (once I get my act together) and I will don a pair of gumboots and trial my ideas. I'll do it in full view, via my blog. So I will succeed or fail in full public view.

Please view all my utterances from the angle of, creating a dairy farm that New Zealanders are proud of.

Horizons One Plan, Farmers Opportunity To Innovate

Retailers have been facing two major challenges in the past 15 years. The first is the big box retailing giants and the second is the rise of internet retailing.

The big box stores generally have a high volume, low margin business model. Due to their high volume they are able to receive the lowest possible wholesale price for their goods. The small retailers struggle to compete on price and try to compete on service and the personal touch.

Box stores with a nationwide footprint need surety of supply from their suppliers. They can only buy from large suppliers who can meet the level of volume that is required. This tends to mean that all the stores sell the same sort of stuff. They go to the same trade fairs where they are approached by the same vendors. Even if a single retailer does pick up a unique product, it’s very easy for their competition to stock the item or a similar item. This is where the independent retailer has a chance to shine, but sadly many have not seen this opportunity.

Example.

When I went hunting for a tricycle for my son, I found that most nationwide retailers all sold the same model trike. When I popped into a few independent toy stores and bike shops, I was frustrated to find that they too sold the same Triang tricycle, which happens to be the same model that all three of my sons friends have too. 

A small retailer can’t stay in business by selling the same stuff as their box store competition.

Spotlight, the craft and sewing box store opened in Invercargill in about 2006. Within a year, one of the three sewing shops my wife frequented closed, stating they could not compete. The second tried to sell up, but after three years it still had not sold. The third shop which is run by nice old ladies is still there. Having spent countless mind numbing hours minding children, while my wife shops in spotlight and these small sewing shops, I feel I know the craft/sewing business.

They all stock the same patterns by the same big brands, the same materials, the same wools, all the “safe” items that are sure to sell. After an hour of trying to stop two kids pulling every display down or fondling every bolt of material or ball of wool, my bride announces “Let’s go, they don’t have any material like on my blogs”. Which gives me mixed feelings. I’m overjoyed to be leaving but somewhat frustrated that the last hour appears to be a complete waste of time.

The point is, to compete against the large retailers; small independent stores need to be unique, stocking totally different items. My wife instead turns to the internet to get the truly unique items she wants.

Which brings me to the next major threat to traditional retailing, Internet shopping. Now days anyone can buy from anywhere and can get the best price. But price is not why people turn to internet shopping. Its selection, the internet gives people the chance to buy the unique things they can’t get locally.

On the surface, this is a threat. But it is actually the greatest opportunity for small retailers, as it gives them the chance to source and stock truly different stock.

The craft/sewing store owners should be following the thousands of craft and sewing blogs, which are filled with bright new designs and ideas. These blogs are run by housewives, budding fashion designers, small cottage businesses and just true enthusiasts. They sell many of their designs and products on Etsy.com. Etsy is Trade Me or ebay for the craft and sewing world.

If I was running a sewing shop, I would be wading through Etsy.com sifting through the 80% which is rubbish and finding the truly outstanding products that are made by small producers or hobbyists. These producers can't supply big retailers as they don't have the volume. But they can quite easily produce enough for my little shop. When your retail store is filled with products that the public don't see everyday, you then become a destination store. Further more discounting is out of the question, as no one has stock like I do.

If I was in the toy or bicycle business, I’d ban the Triang tricycle from my selves and instead stock a tricycle inspired by Vanillabicycles.com or ifbikes.com. Both these tricycles are custom built, but I'm sure a local business would love to build you something similar without the expensive custom components. 

The internet gives small business the opportunity to find and stock truly unique products, in doing so they can become the tiny powerhouse retailer of their district. But most don’t as they prefer to just order stock from the sales rep that pops in every month and continue to sell the same old safe stuff that everybody else does. In Australia retailers are lobbying the government to put GST on imported internet purchases under $1,000, as if this will stop consumers from buying online.

What has happened is the business conditions that retailers operate in have changed. The internet and the large corporate retailers have dictated that business needs to be done differently in order to survive. The prospect is far from doom and gloom for small retailers, it’s simply a matter of these business owners operating differently and gaining the new skills required to be successful in the new environment.

I read on Friday, that the environment court had ruled on the Horizons Regional Council One Plan. I promptly read the reaction from Federated Farmers. 

One aspect of the One Plan is to make farming in certain areas a “controlled activity”. This will put a limit on the amount of nutrient losses that can take place under a farming system. I assume farmers will have to apply for consent to farm in these areas and put forward proposals as to how they will achieve the nutrient limits.

These proposals are similar to those put forward by the Southland District Council and Environment Canterbury. These proposals have not gone down well with farmers, as you can imagine. Currently for farmers to continue to farm as they are on these areas can only be achieved by reducing the effective stocking rate, which equates to less money.

It’s no wonder farmers are worried. When/if these measures are put in place, it will equate to a loss in farm profitability, which will flow onto land price reductions as well.

These changes will put some farmers out of business.

But farmers are just like any business, they need to adapt to the changing business environment that they operate in. Just as the retailers have needed to change in order to combat the threats they have faced, so to do farmers. Farmers aren’t the only ones who have invested in their business and stand to lose money. Business owners all over NZ invest money in their businesses, only to find a major competitor opens up next door or the government changes some law or regulation. I had to make a major change to my equipment rental business in 2005 when the credit contracts & consumer finance act was rewritten. We continue to change our practises as it becomes clearer how the revised law is interpreted.

When Roger Douglas removed the subsidies paid to farmers in the 1980s. Some farmers lost their farms, which is regrettable and sad. The rural sector was forced to become efficient very quickly or go broke. I was a child when that happened so I accept I may not understand how painful that period was for farmers. But now 20 years on, the prime minister of New Zealand is telling the world how we have no subsidies and we are the most efficient producers in the world.

New Zealand agriculture has already adapted to a massive change in the past and is better off for it. No farmer would have volunteered to remove subsidies, it had to be done for them.

The rural sector can adapt to the change in environmental practises, it just needs to be committed to doing it. Many people are critical of Roger that he made the changes so quickly and did not phase the changes in over time. The signals are being sent loud and clear to the agricultural sector that change is coming. The sector says that they are “committed” to environmentally sound practices. I get the feeling that the meaning of the word “committed” will change somewhat when the district counsels announce an effective start date for nutrient limits. Farmers shouldn't leave it too late or they will find themselves scrambling to become efficient again, this time it will be environmental efficiency that has to improve.

I respect Federated Farmers and I particularly like Bruce Wills, their advocacy has no doubt brought balance to the debate. But I will have to respectfully disagree with their stance. Fighting this issue is like retailers trying to fight the internet. 

This is not a time of doom and gloom for farmers, its a time to think radically and innovate. Its a time to become better farmers and business people.

Sharemilking & The Progression To Farm Ownership

Federated Farmers has a report on their website called “Ensuring a viable progression path in the dairy industry”.

It raises some interesting observations.

35% of farms are managed by sharemilkers (2009/10), 20% by Herd Owning Sharemilkers (HOSM). Although there has been only a minor reduction in the percentage of dairy farms managed by sharemilkers, there is a more noticeable trend in the declining number of HOSM, particularly in the South Island.

 It’s important to know the difference between a herd owning sharemilker and a contract milker/variable order sharemilker. Obviously a herd owning sharemilker owns the herd and they receive 50% of the milk cheque. They are responsible for most costs except capital fertilizer and R&M on the farm & infrastructure.

A contract milker is a contractor who receives a percentage of the milk cheque but does not own any cows. A variable order sharemilker may own some cows and the percentage of the milk cheque they receive is in line with the size of their herd.

Only 20% of farms have a traditional 50:50 sharemilker on them.

The report states the reasons.

Key reasons include higher debt levels onfarm, more corporate farm ownership, and the difference in financial returns to the farm owner between using a herd owning sharemilker and a Variable Order Sharemilker or Contract Milker.

I've had a few farm owners say to me, that they feel they would give away far too much of the revenue to a herd owning sharemilker. Therefore they employ a contract milker or mangaer instead. Many corporate farmers prefer to employ managers.

Market forces of supply and demand are at play, and the balance of power is currently in the hands of the farm owner. If the herd owning sharemilkers cannot accept there may need to be rebalancing of clauses within the traditional herd owning agreement, farm owners will make the decision to recruit contract milkers, lower order sharemilkers or farm managers.

Essentially farm owners are saying sharemilkers need to make a lower return or we will employ contract milkers instead.

Equity partnerships have become popular in the last 15 years. This is where people buy a share of an entire farming operation. The managing shareholder may choose to do this rather than go sharemilking.

Financially, logic suggests that in the long run, returns will be similar to those of the average farm owner (3-7% cash return on assets plus 5-10% capital gain per annum). In comparison, a HOSM agreement will generate on average a 20%return on assets, although there is a greater degree of annual variability in this figure.

The equity partnership option gives the managing partner exposure to capital gain of the land, but it also give them exposure to the interest bill that goes with land ownership.

If the land is not increasing in value, then they will not match the returns of the 50:50 sharemilker.

Equity partnerships are in my opinion not the way to wealth generation.

As you can see in the table above, sharemilkers make good returns. The graph below shows the profitability of sharemilking as opposed farm ownership.

Historically, 50:50 sharemilkers have always done better production than farm owners and other management structures. The table below indicates that this is no longer the case, with 20-29% sharemilkers showing better production in every period.

I had to take another look at that table, as it didn't show what I expected. But the graph below clarifies things

.

The traditional dairy regions of the Waikato and Taranaki have approximately 20-25% of their herds run by 50:50 sharemilkers. Southland and Canterbury have around 16% of herds run by 50:50 sharemilkers.

The average South Island production for 2010-11 year was 1030 kgms/ha. The North Islands average production was 866 kgms/ha.

The South Island has fewer 50:50 sharemilkers but more lower order sharemilkers. When you combine this with the South Islands higher average production. It distorts the figures to make it look like lower order sharemilkers produce more. When it is simply the South Island produces more.

This Graph below, really sums up the situation in regard to progressing through the dairy industry to farm ownership.

Ten years ago 10 cows would buy 1 Hectare of land. Today it requires 20 cows to buy 1 Hectare of land. That's even with cow values been at record highs for the past 8 years.

In 1994 my parents were sharemilking 400 cows in Tirau. They progressed to farm ownership in 1995, when they purchased a 140 Hectare farm in Southland. Based on the above graph they would need to have 800 cows to purchase the same farm in 2012.

In 1996 seventy per cent of sharemilkers intended to purchase their own farm once completing their sharemilking career. By 2011 this had reduced to 55 per cent.

I have a lot of respect for the sharemilkers of today. Its a tough business and due to the competition for sharemilking jobs, the current crop of sharemilkers are top operators and very competent. They face a lot of challenges, such as banks not really wanting to lend to sharemilkers, a shortage of jobs, combined with pressure to give up some of their profits and the cow value to land value ratio increasing every year.

I think it is unfair to blame farm owners for not employing sharemilkers, as the decision not to, makes financial sense. But I can't help but feel that, many of the farm owners of today got there by sharemilking and making 20% returns for 10 or so years. But now that they are farm owners they seem reluctant to give the next generation the same opportunity.

The pathway to farm ownership has become more varied, and there are more options to choose from. The pathway to progression is no longer linear. This should not necessarily be seen as a negative factor. However with more diversity in the industry there is a much greater need for adequate due diligence on each individual opportunity. In many cases this is not occurring to a sufficient degree, and professional advice is not being sought.

Either way, there is still plenty of opportunity in the dairy sector and the industry as a whole may have to look at other ways of progressing to farm ownership.

I've got a few ideas that I'll share at some stage in the future.

Abigail Vickers; The Type Of Person The Dairy Industry Needs

The May 2011 issue of the Dairy Exporter has an article on Canterbury/North Otago Dairy Trainee of the year, Abigail Vickers.

At the time of the article, Abigail was 25 years old and in her second year as a dairy assistant. She has a goal of owning her own small scale organic farm, that doesn’t necessarily have to be involved in dairy. She already has 5 cows which she leases out, but would like to grow the herd to around 50 cows.

She entered the dairy industry to learn as much as she could about pasture management.

What a great example of a driven young person who has their act together. How many second year dairy assistants have started building up their herd? I don’t know many herd managers who have started building up their herd? She is an example of the type of people the dairy industry needs.

While she’s enjoyed working on both farms, she’s now looking at trying another farming sector to give herself some more time to pursue interests outside of work.

Here’s an example of a member of generation y, who the dairy industry dearly needs. But she wants more time to do things outside of work. One of the main characteristics of gen y, is they value time for activities outside of work. Obviously her two previous jobs do not allow her the time she would prefer. So she’s off to look around at other opportunities.

I wonder if she will return to working on a dairy farm. I bet she will continue to build her herd while working in another sector and then she’ll go dairying with her 50 cows and she'll do it her way. She’ll build the farm to suit her requirements and priorities.

I'm back on my soapbox preaching the same old sermon. The hours worked on dairy farms are turning off the best and brightest people.

If anyone knows Abigail, I’d love to hear how she is getting on.

Dairying With Gen Y

We can take this whole generation y & x thing a bit far. The characteristics that the researchers give us about the motivation and focus of particular generations are generalisations. There will be many members of Y-generation who don’t display any of the traits they are supposed to have. But when you read the list of traits and attributes I can’t help but believe them to be true.

So why bother with Gen Y?

Firstly, we have no choice. Someone needs to work and take over the family farms. If they don’t, then the farms will no doubt be run by corporate farmers, or even foreign investors (shock, horror). Even then they will need to employ Gen y to work on the farms anyway.

Secondly; the agricultural sector is going to get bigger over time as the global demand for food increases. Farmers are going to need more staff. Farmers are struggling to attract adequate numbers of staff currently.

Thirdly; y-generation are our children and grandchildren. We created them and really made them the way they are. So the least we can do is employ them, and the generation following gen Y will probably be worse!

I used the word “worse” in the last sentence, that implies that a gen y person is less productive or not as good as a previous generation. I don’t think that is the case, they are just different.

There needs to be a bit of movement from both sides. Gen y need to learn that the real world is a bit brutal and results count. Lofty ideals won’t get anyone anywhere, but the older generation need to move as well and they need to change the way they run their businesses and conduct themselves to suit the differing attitudes and expectations. The farmer who is a man of few words with the “I’m the boss, now go and do this and then do that” approach is not going to work well in the future.

If we look at professional rugby. The coaching styles and cultures have changed from 20 years ago. I wonder if Laurie Mains, or Grizz Wylie would be successful coaches in today’s game. You never heard the term “player power” in the 80s or 90s.

How do we fit y-generation into agriculture and specifically the dairy industry?  

Well I don’t think it is too difficult, because the environment that gen y appreciates is one that all generations will benefit from.

The main characteristics of Generation Y are:

Relationships are important                                                        Work collaboratively

Hands on learning style                                                                 What to be treated as equal

Like encouragement                                                                      Like consensus

What to be “involved”                                                                   Regular promotion/progress

What responsibility

Essentially they want to be treated as a “work mate” not an “employee”, they want to work together to solve issues and reach a consensus. They want to be involved in the decision making process.

So the employer really needs to be committed to ensuring they foster a work culture that incorporates the above characteristics.

An employer with the right attitude and the following initiatives, are really all that is required to make farming gen-y friendly.

• Give staff responsibility.
• Include the whole team in weekly meetings
• Allow staff to teach others
• Reduce hours of work.

Responsibility

One thing the dairy industry is able to offer, is fast progression. A new comer to the dairy industry can be a herd manager in two years, if they have the willingness to learn.

Even the newest employee can be given responsibility. Give them the job of keeping the teat sprayer filled or the cowshed walls clean. These are very simple jobs, but they give that junior person a bit of an identity. Make someone the “electric fence monitor”. Give them a fence tester and make it their job to ensure the power does not drop below a certain level. When it does it’s their job to fix it or delegate it to be fixed. Train a staff member to treat sore feet, and then make sore feet their responsibility. You then find this employee starts taking an active interest in all things that effect sore feet, from the lanes/races to stones on the yard. Another good example is the effluent spreader, make it one employees job to be responsible for it being moved and set up correctly. Evan though everybody monitors it and moves it, this particular employee has overall responsibility for it and they teach the other staff how to operate it.

Of course whoever is in charge is still monitoring these things, but the employee feels like they have a special role or job.

Proper team meetings

Most farms already have team meetings, but I suspect these meetings take place in the tanker track standing up, and the boss says “this is what needs to be done, employee A do this, employee B do that”.

A formal meeting held once a week inside for a duration of 1-2 hours is what I’m talking about. They follow a regular structure and the employer or bosses role is to be a facilitator.

At these meetings the employees accounts for their particular responsibilities. The employee assigned to the “electric fence monitor” role, gets up and talks about where the shorts were last week, if any and outlines what the staff need to look out for or check. The person responsible for the effluent spreader does the same. It’s their job to pull up other employees on mistakes or improper technique etc, not the employer. Of course the employer can direct the employee on aspects they want them to talk about prior to the meeting.

Pasture management is another good example. The employer will already know prior to the meeting what their plan is, such as move cows onto a 15 day grazing round, shut up paddocks 7 and 8 for silage.

But the way to approach this is to facilitate a discussion amongst all the employees to reach your intended plan. The boss asks questions, “whats our average pasture cover?”, “how much are the cows eating currently?”, “how fast is the grass growing currently”. “well it looks like we’re growing more grass than we are eating”, “I wonder if we should shut up a few paddocks for silage?”; “what do you think?”. While this discussion is taking place, someone should be writing all the figures and doing the calculations on a white board. This allows every member to learn how the farm is run.

All these questions are to encourage the whole team to take part in the discussion. It also makes them feel like they are directly influencing the management decisions. By giving each team member areas that they are responsible for, you are giving them responsibility and significance. By conducting a meeting where everybody is involved in every aspect of the business, you are also training the staff and making them aware of all that goes on at every level. This is a benefit for the long term.

Staff become the trainers

They say, the best way to learn something is to teach it. Let the staff train each other. It makes the trainer feel important and engaged, the other staff are more likely to listen. It also forces the teacher to think about what they are teaching more.

Let’s say the person in charge of the effluent irrigator is the 2IC. Approach him about a week prior and let them know that you want them to conduct a training session on common mistakes people make when shifting the irrigator. Write down what you want them to cover and then leave it up to them. Of course the boss is present at the training session to add to the training and ensure everything is covered.

What is happening is you are engaging your team members to own a portion of the management of the farm. This gives them significance and engagement.

 This stuff already happens on a lot of farms. But it’s important to ensure these initiatives are not rushed and are given the same importance as, say milking the cows. These initiatives won’t work when everybody is rushing around trying to get everything done or the team is going from one fire to another, which brings me to my last point.

Reduced hours of work

My experience on a dairy farm is, you rush all day and at the end of it you have never done everything that you needed to. If a team have just worked a 70 hour week and they then get asked to prepare a training session on the effluent irrigator or how to operate the silage wagon “when you have a free moment”. The team members probably won’t be too keen to jump on board. If the team meetings are rushed because everyone knows that by sitting around talking for two hours, it means they will be home two hours later. Then they are not going to buy into all this.

The task of focusing on the team is just as important as feeding the cows or milking the cows. Dairy farmers are still operating in the Stone Age when it comes to human resources. What I’ve outlined above is not “way out” or radicle thinking it’s just what businesses in town have been doing for the last 20 years.

An owner operator dairy farmer, with an 800 cow farm will have an asset base of approximately 7-10 million dollars and a turnover of 2.1 million dollars a year, but they operate an HR policy in line with a fish n chip shop.

If dairy farmers want their views to be heard and respected by the New Zealand public and want young people to view farming as being a professional career, then they need to actually be professional. Their are many top operators out there in the industry but they are the exception.

To conclude; staffing on dairy farms is a huge issue now. Employing staff from the Philippines to fill the gaps is a band aid fix. It does not address the core issue, which are people don’t want to work on dairy farms. The y generation with their “extra” needs are not going to be any different.

Facebook, Groupon. I'll invest in Agriculture Thanks

I have just read this article. I'm no investment guru, but why was I not surprised at the fall in share price of Facebook. Groupons share price is doing the same. I was shocked that Facebook purchased Instagram for 1 billion dollars!
It all comes down to the view that attention or eye balls on your site or app is worth $. Twitter is the latest company trying to figure out how to turn the eye balls into some sort of revenue.
At the end of the day, people can have their GPS enabled socially connected apps, they can be facebooking and Tweeting each other while playing Angry Birds. But it all becomes pretty insignificant when you haven't eaten for 2 days.
That's why agriculture will always be a great investment. We live in a time where most of us have too much food. But the future looks good for agriculture as food demand increases globally.
The problem is the great returns that can be made in farming are deminished by the interest bill required to own land. Land is seen as safe and a "blue chip" place to park money.
My feeling is to make money in agriculture, its best not to own land. The money is in the processing and marketing.
Ill be spending the rest of the day planning how I can be like Sam Morgan and launch a tech startup, which I can then sell for hundreds of millions of dollars. Then I can afford to be a hill country sheep farmer.

Unemployed Y- Generation. What an Opportunity for the Agriculture Sector

Brian Gaynors column in the Herald, this weekend addressed youth unemployment. Brian was saying that baby boomers are staying in employment and not retiring as previous generations have in the past. The affect is these boomers are retaining jobs which makes it difficult for young employees to find employment. The column has caused quite a discussion, with 85 comments as I write. Many baby boomers seem to be taking exception to what Brian says. 

Whatever the cause, we can't ignore the high youth unemployment rate of 17%. That's for people aged 15-24. People aged 15-19 account for 27% of NZ total unemployment.

Long periods of unemployment in the early part of working life has been shown to have a profound affect on people and leave a "wage scar" that stays with them for the rest of their life.

When I look at these figures I think, what an opportunity for the agricultural sector! 

We read about 1200 applicants applying for 200 positions in a supermarket. Surely the agricultural sector can offer so much more than stacking shelves and swiping bar codes.

Professor Jacqueline Rowarth writes a column in "Primary Magazine". In the Autumn issue she addresses generation Y, those born between 1978 and 1994. (As I was born in 1978, I'm a little shocked to find that I'm considered gen y!) 

As a group, these people have been parented with much more attention and praise heaped on them. As their parents strived to give them a better life than they may have had. Y-generation have grown up in a time where prosperity as prevailed throughout their lives.

As a result they have a lot of confidence and have high expectations.

Jacqueline references an american study that showed,

Gen y list "work life balance" as the number one career goal. They believe they have a high work ethic but there appears to be a difference of 30 hours per week between what a baby boomer and a gen y consider to be an "acceptable working week". 

Read my previous posts here and here.

Although work life balance is rated higher than income, gen y still believe they are entitled to a high income. 

Jacqueline goes on,

"members of y-generation do not believe they need to choose between having a balanced lifestyle and professional success. They want and expect, to be able to have both. In fact they think they deserve it."

Those attitudes are likely to be completely opposite to what your average baby boomer farm owner believes to be true. Baby boomers were brought up by parents who lived through the great depreciation, and two world wars, in a time where progression was much slower. "Work hard and do your time" is what I imagine the baby boomer motto to be.


Y-generation could be explained as "have your cake and eat it too". 

Jacqueline continues, 

"they want responsibility (although they have little experience) and challenge (which implies effort and persistence). But they also want quick rewards and they want to be valued "overtly". 

Y-generation expect to be promoted quickly and they want to feel included in the decision making processes. They love collaboration and interaction and consensus. They love to share ideas. They have a hands on style of learning. They value relationships and purpose more than money. They want to be part of something bigger than them, they want a cause to be part of. They value time over money so they can have a life outside of work.

Y-gen think short term where as the parents of the baby boomers were very long term thinkers. Many would stay in the same job or company for their entire life and then die 2 years after retirement. Gen-y have no such desire to stay in the same job for  
5 years let alone an entire working life.

Y-generation make up 21% of the NZ population. If agriculture is to attract this new generation then it needs to adapt to them. It doesn't matter if gen-y thinking is"unrealistic" or "away with the fairies". This is the way they are.

So why are so many unemployed? Maybe its partly due to baby boomers staying in the work force longer, maybe its baby boomer employers who prefer older employees who they "understand" better. Maybe its because gen-y are their own worst enemies.

Either way it is actually the responsibility of the previous generation to enable the next to progress. The boomers and gen-x need to adapt to gen-y to allow them to progress and gen-y need to be shown (in a gen-y way) the reality of how the world works.

I believe its the y generation who will cement NZ as the leaders of high value agriculture. I think they will take the innovation and productivity gains of the previous generations and combine it with their creative, connected, collaborative attitudes and begin telling the NZ story in some different ways.

So we have 21% of the population who are in low paid jobs or are unemployed. What a wonderful opportunity to attract them into agriculture.

All we need to do is create a work environment where they can collaborate with each other all day and get all touchy feely, allow them to make all the decisions, while giving them plenty of public praise and encouragement. We simply need to ensure that they, feel like they are saving the planet,while developing their skills. We need to allow them the flexibility to have lots of time off farm, while working less hours and getting paid heaps.

LOL!

No sweat!

Farmers Outstanding Work Ethic Results In Long Hours For Employees

I've blogged a bit about the high hours worked on dairy farms and the employment conditions. To summarise I feel that the high hours worked by dairy staff is the single biggest deterrent to retaining people in the industry.

But I want to be clear that the high hours worked are generally not the result of employers deliberately trying to take advantage of their staff. Its more a matter of dairy farmers expecting their staff to work as hard as they do or have done in the past.

If every New Zealander had the work ethic of your average dairy farmer, then the countries productivity would be a through the roof.

The dairy industry has allowed people to move from employees and into self employment via contract milking and sharemilking. Sharemilkers build up their businesses by starting out with a small amount of capital , which they use to buy some cows. They bank the profit from the first year and buy more cows and soon move onto a bigger sharemilking position. These cows have some heifer calves every year which adds to the size of the herd as well. The general goal over time has been to build up to a large sharemilking position bank the money for a few years and save for a deposit on a small farm.

The quicker a sharemilker can get to a economic size herd, the sooner they can get into farm ownership. So if you can drop a labour unit, you save $35,000 per year. If you value a cow at $1,800, then $35,000 can be used to buy 39 cows (borrow 50%). 39*380 kgms*$5.50 payout = extra $81,500 in revenue.

Its this attitude that has seen generations of young dairy couples across NZ working hard to grow their businesses and reinvesting the profit back into their business. This is a great thing.

A culture has developed throughout the industry of long work hours. The sharemilkers of the past who are now farm owners, can sit on their verandahs sipping gin and tonics while they watch their current sharemilkers working like crazy, and they think nothing of it. Because they did the same thing when they were younger. Its just the way it is.

I don't have an issue with that. If you are self employed then you can work what ever hours you like. Its your choice and theoretically you will reap the rewards of your work via increased savings, growth or value of your business/asset.

The problem arises when self employed people expect employees to work the same conditions as they do. As the dairy industry becomes more corporatised and farms get larger, a greater proportion of the dairy work force are employees. 

The difference between an employee and a self employed person are large.

A self employed person benefits from the increase in production or the cow price or an increase in the payout. Likewise they bear the brunt of decreases as well. They take the risks and the extra responsibility  and hopefully reap the rewards.

An employee only has their time in which they can be remunerated. It has no effect on them if the payout or production is up or down. They can take their labour anywhere they like and at any time (generally right at the end of calving). But they get 4 weeks paid leave, sick leave and they are supposed to get a minimum hourly rate.

The attitudes and goals of these two types of people are very different. Many employees find the financial risks and responsibility of being in business too great and prefer the security of paid employment.
On the other hand many self employed people view relying on someone else to provide your income to be risky.

Its different attitudes and world views. One is not better than the other, just different.

A very common view point expressed by farmers when the discussion of employment conditions are mentioned is that, employees may work hard and long hours but the dairy industry gives them the opportunity to progress up the system. That view is of a business owner thinking from their own perspective. The problem with that view is more and more dairy position s don't offer that opportunity and more employees are not looking to move up the dairy ladder, they just want a good job that they enjoy to support their family.

As the dairy industry relies more and more on employees rather than self employed share farmers, the dairy farm employers need to recognise these differing view points and provide working conditions that appeal to employees.

Great Little Co-Op

Great example of how Co-Ops give power to the producer. I love how these guys produce the raw product, process it and then sell it too. They control the entire value chain.  

You've got to give credit to the founder of the Co-Op. What a selfless guy. 

Hat tip to http://nz.coop/ 

Sir Paul Callaghan & Fonterra's Revenue Per Employee

Sir Paul Callaghan gave a presentation called New Zealand: A Place Where Talent Wants to Live. His main point was that many of New Zealand’s successful companies meet very small niche markets that are often very specialised. But these companies dominate this very small niche globally.

Part of the talk was to compare New Zealand companies by revenue per employee. The slide below shows that in order for New Zealand to stay at its current level in the OECD, we need companies that earn at least $120,000 per employee.

So if we invest in the wine and tourism sectors then we will get poorer as a nation.

Food Manufacturing achieves the required earning per employee of $120,000.

The manufacturing sector does well and earns around $240,000 per employee.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare are doing well with $290,000 per employee.

Right at the top we have Fonterra with a very healthy (by NZ standards) earning of $350,000 per employee.

This got me thinking, how does a commodity producer have a higher revenue per employee than a high tech design company like F&P Health Care?

I would have thought that a company with a high revenue per employee, would have employees that were highly trained, working on high value design/research type jobs that generated high margins for the company. F&P Healthcare seem to fit this stereotype of mine, but Fonterra certainly doesn't.

What does Sir Paul mean by “Fonterra”? Is that just Fonterra employees or is that Fonterra’s supplier farmers as well.

Fonterra has about 9,500 employees and its 10,500 shareholder farmers employ approximately 32,000 people on their farms. That makes 41,500 employees in total. Fonterra’s revenue for the year ending July 2010 was 16,726,000,000. That equates to $403,000/employee which is higher than the $350,000 quoted in Paul’s graph. But it’s in the ball park as we don’t know what year’s figures Paul used. So I’m comfortable that “Fonterra” means Fonterra’s employees and their dairy farm employees as well.

To me, the figure of revenue per employee is an indication or measurement of how efficient each employee is, but it is also an indication on how much value each employee adds to the company. High tech research and design type jobs are well paid but they also generate high margins for the company.

Fonterra basically sells milk powder, which is a basic commodity ingredient to food companies around the world, who then process the powder into value added products like baby formula and chocolate. Fonterra sits toward the bottom of the value chain.

What this graph says to me (and tell me if you think I am wrong) is that a co-op filled with farmers who employ unqualified people to throw cups on cows add more value than the technically skilled, high tech manufacturers at Fisher & Paykel Heathcare.

We keep hearing how Agriculture won’t make NZ rich as it does not create high enough revenue or well-paid jobs, but this graph disputes that premise.

We need to be clear that revenue per employee is not an indication of the amount each employee is paid, but rather the value that the company earns per employee.

A high revenue per employee means one of two things; either milk commodity prices are very high resulting in a high revenue or dairy farmers are very efficient with their labour and have quite a low number of employees. As I've pointed out earlier on my blog the hours worked by dairy farmers and their staff is far higher than most "city" businesses.

So I'm leaning towards the theory that while Fonterra's revenue is significant, the revenue per employee measurement is higher than it really should be because most dairy farms are understaffed, in my opinion.

I'm also prepared to admit that I may be drawing a bit of a long bow with this reasoning, but it got me thinking. Hope it gets you thinking too.